Bonvalet Scenarios™

AI-Enabled Modeling for Diplomatic and Strategic Foresight

The Challenge

In an increasingly unstable and interconnected world, leadership teams can no longer rely on static planning or optimistic assumptions. Strategic surprises—from coups to cyberattacks, sanctions to supply chain collapse—can upend even the most well-resourced missions. Traditional scenario planning is slow, abstract, and often disconnected from real-world dynamics. By the time you’ve built the map, the landscape has already changed.

Our Insight

Smart leaders don’t try to predict the future — they prepare for multiple versions of it. That’s where Bonvalet Scenarios steps in: combining geopolitical expertise with AI-enabled scenario generation to help organizations explore risk, adapt faster, and make decisions that hold up under pressure.

The Solution: Bonvalet Scenarios™

Bonvalet Scenarios blends strategic forecasting, expert facilitation, game theory, and artificial intelligence to simulate multiple futures — so you can anticipate disruptions, pressure-test decisions, and craft more resilient plans. Think of it as imagining “black swan” events on steroids. Whether navigating a regional power shift or preparing your enterprise for global instability, Bonvalet Scenarios helps you ask: What if? What then? What now?

What You Get

Facilitated Scenario Workshops – Live or virtual, customized sessions led by trained facilitators and supported by real-time AI-driven inputs.
AI-Enabled Future Modeling – Simulations leverage open-source intel, historical patterning, and trend extrapolation to generate credible near-future pathways.
Multi-Pathway Playbooks – Clients receive decision frameworks for 3-5 plausible futures, with strategic implications and action triggers.
Custom Risk Domains – Choose from geopolitical, economic, technological, humanitarian, or institutional resilience themes.
Optional: Embedded Advisory – For clients who need follow-through, Bonvalet experts help align scenario insights to ongoing strategy and operations.

Why It Matters

See What Others Miss
AI doesn’t just accelerate scenario modeling — it amplifies your ability to think the unthinkable.
Pressure-Test Your Strategy
Use structured pathways to test assumptions, identify blind spots, and future-proof critical decisions.
Foster Strategic Alignment
Unite diverse stakeholders around a shared view of uncertainty — and clarify where you go from here.
Accelerate Readiness
Clients who scenario-plan don’t just survive disruption. They seize the opportunity it creates.

Real-World Applications

A government agency prepares contingencies for instability in a key partner nation
A global enterprise assesses AI-related disinformation risks in multiple markets
An international NGO builds a scenario-based field deployment plan in advance of elections and unrest
A ministry of defense explores futures involving rival-state expansion and hybrid threats

Who It’s For

Ministries of foreign affairs and defense
Strategic planning units
Risk and crisis management teams
Multinational enterprises expanding into fragile markets

Choose Your Tier

Tier	Price	Includes
Core Scenario Workshop	Call	One facilitated 3-hour workshop with AI-supported scenario generation (up to 8 participants)
Extended Strategy Package	Call	Workshop + written playbook, risk matrix, and follow-up session with alignment tools
Embedded Engagement	Custom Quote USD	Ongoing (multi-week) engagement with scenarios, live updates, and embedded strategic advisor(s)

Ready to be one Ahead?

Let’s design the possibilities before they define you. Bonvalet Scenarios™ puts control back in your hands.